South Alabama vs Southern Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 10:40 AM
  • Southern Miss (25-6) is a -1.5 point favorite vs South Alabama (17-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars (17-15) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (25-6) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 12:30pm EST in Pensacola.

Southern Miss is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The South Alabama vs. Southern Miss Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. Southern Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama+1.5 -110O 138.5 -110+105
Southern Miss -1.5 -110U 138.5 -110-125

South Alabama vs Southern Miss Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Southern Miss will win this game with 54.7% confidence.

South Alabama vs Southern Miss Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Southern Miss will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Southern Miss, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+13.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+29.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Southern Miss have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+8.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has gone 18-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -15.31% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

Southern Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Miss has gone 18-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.05 Units / 22.93% ROI).

  • 22-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +28.5 Units / 27.79% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 6.3 offensive rebounds per game (146 rebounds/23 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.8

South Alabama has 11.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

South Alabama has 11.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 18.0

South Alabama has a 20% free throw rate (273 free throw attempts/1,366 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Miss is shooting 32% from three (166/517) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Southern Miss has averaged 15.0 assists per game (361 assists/24 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Southern Miss has averaged 10.7 offensive rebounds per game (257 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Southern Miss has an eFG% of 52% this season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 51%

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 6.6 steals per game (370 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

South Alabama has averaged 6.1 steals per game (140 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

South Alabama has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,659 points/3,195 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

South Alabama has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.3

Southern Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Miss has averaged 9.0 steals per game (215 steals/24 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Southern Miss has 215 steals this season — 3rd most among Sunbelt Teams

Southern Miss has averaged 6.6 steals per game (379 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Southern Miss has averaged 9.0 steals per game (215 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.