South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2023, 1:38 PM
  • South Alabama (15-14) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Texas State (13-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars (15-14) visit Strahan Arena to take on the Texas State Bobcats (13-16) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Marcos.

South Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The South Alabama vs. Texas State Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama-2.5 -115O 131.5 -115-150
Texas State +2.5 -105U 131.5 -105+125

South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 56.5% confidence.

South Alabama vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Texas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has gone 16-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI).

  • 11-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -18.62% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has gone 8-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-10.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -16.49% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 6.3 offensive rebounds per game (146 rebounds/23 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.8

South Alabama has 11.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

South Alabama has 11.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 18.0

South Alabama has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (232 turnovers/23 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Texas State has averaged 64.5 points per game (1,547 points/24 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Texas State has averaged 64.5 points per game (1,547 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 72.3

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 6.1 steals per game (140 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

South Alabama has averaged 6.6 steals per game (370 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

South Alabama has allowed 5.1 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

South Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (117/375) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Texas State has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,165 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Texas State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (160 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.