- Southern Illinois (19-8) are -3.5 point favorites vs Valparaiso (11-16)
- Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Southern Illinois Salukis (19-8) visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons (11-16) on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Valparaiso.
Southern Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Southern Illinois vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 133.5 total points.
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Southern Illinois vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Southern Illinois | -3.5 -110 | O 133.5 -115 | -165 |
| Valparaiso | +3.5 -110 | U 133.5 -105 | +135 |
Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Southern Illinois will win this game with 58.4% confidence.
Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Southern Illinois will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Southern Illinois and Valparaiso, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Southern Illinois Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Southern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Southern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Southern Illinois has gone 10-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / 0% ROI).
- 18-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 5.94% ROI
- 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
- 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has gone 12-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI).
- 10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.09% ROI
- 16-10 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 17.48% ROI
- 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.6 Units / -26.57% ROI
Southern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:
Southern Illinois has averaged 65.1 points per game (3,580 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.2
Southern Illinois has averaged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/24 games) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5
Southern Illinois has averaged 66.5 points per game (1,595 points/24 games) this season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8
Southern Illinois has 15.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso is shooting 30% from three (148/500) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Valparaiso has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso is shooting 32% from three (378/1,192) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Valparaiso has scored 1,654 points this season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Southern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:
Southern Illinois has averaged 7.8 steals per game (187 steals/24 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Southern Illinois has averaged 7.8 steals per game (187 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Southern Illinois has 187 steals this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Southern Illinois has averaged 6.5 steals per game (358 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 6.3 steals per game (151 steals/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,475/3,261) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Valparaiso has allowed 72.5 points per game (1,739 points/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 68.1
Valparaiso has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8
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