Spain vs. Germany Predictions, Odds & Picks: World Cup 2022

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Germany's Ilkay Gundogan celebrates after scoring during the World Cup group E soccer match between Germany and Japan, at the Khalifa International Stadium in Doha, Qatar, Wednesday, Nov. 23, 2022.
AP Photo/Luca Bruno
Laura Paterson @ Nov 24, 2022, 10:51 AM
  • Spain is the slight favorite to win against Germany.
  • Germany needs to recover from the shock loss to Japan.
  • There might be too much pressure on Germany, and Spain should win.

Spain racked up their biggest-ever World Cup win as they put seven past Costa Rica without reply. On the other hand, Germany fell to a shock 2-1 defeat against Japan.

Is this young Spanish side one to be reckoned with in this tournament? Can the Germans stop the ridiculous array of attacking talent in La Roja? With Japan likely to beat Costa Rica, Germany can’t afford to drop points in this game.

Spain vs. Germany Prediction, World Cup:

The winning team model predicts Spain will win this Group E game with 45% confidence. The model also predicts a 28% chance of a tie/draw.

» Get Win Predictions for Every World Cup Game

Spain vs. Germany Odds, Outrights, Over/Under

  • Match Result: Spain (+138) | Draw (+250) | Germany (+185)
  • Draw No Bet: Spain (-145) | Germany (+105)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-150) | Under 2.5 (+105)

Spain vs. Germany Match Info

2022 World Cup — Group Stage (E)

Date: Sunday, November 27.

Time: 2:00 PM ET

Venue: Al Bayt Stadium, Qatar

Coverage: FOX, Telemundo

Spain vs. Germany Analysis

It’s safe to say that Costa Rica’s legendary goalkeeper, Keylor Navas, had one of the worst nights of his career. His side was up against a young Spain team that simply did not take their foot off of the gas.

From the first minute of the game, Luis Enrique’s men surged forward. They harried and pressed their opponents at every opportunity and didn’t allow Costa Rica any time on the ball. In fact, Costa Rica didn’t register one shot on target. 

Keep in mind that Costa Rica is renowned for working as a tight, defensive unit and limiting their opponent’s chances. Spain simply sliced through the midfield and defense like butter.

This was an offensive masterclass, and given that this is the third youngest team at the FIFA World Cup this year, I can’t help but feel that Luis Enrique is nurturing the next dominant European team.

Of course, they will come up against an opponent of a much higher caliber than Costa Rica when they face Germany on Sunday. Germany is also desperate for a result after its loss to Japan.

It seems inconceivable that Germany will get knocked out of the Group Stage for the second World Cup in a row, but if they fail to get anything from this match, that is exactly what they are facing.

Germany was 1-0 up and had 79% of the possession at halftime, but two second-half goals from Ritsu Doan and Takuma Asano condemned Germany to an unthinkable defeat.

Hansi Flick needs to work out what went wrong against Japan. He knows that his strikers weren’t at the top of their game, but they are his best players. There was simply no answer to Japan’s changes at the break. His side was a bit like a puzzle with several mismatched pieces.

Luckily, I think Germany will fare better against Spain regarding their style of play. Germany couldn’t counter Japan’s low block, but Spain plays possession-based soccer, inviting the German’s strength in pressing and scoring on the break.

This is bound to be an intense midfield battle in which Germany should be able to hold its own. The question is whether this team is mentally strong enough to handle the pressure of facing another Group Stage exit.

This will be a relatively high-scoring game, and I see Spain taking all three points.

Spain vs. Germany Game Result Odds

  • Match Result: Spain (+138)
  • Draw No Bet: Spain (-145)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-150)
  • Spain to Win and Both Teams to Score: (+300)

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About the Author

Laura Paterson

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Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.

Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.