Spain vs. Morocco Predictions, Odds, & Picks: World Cup 2022

min read
Spain's Alvaro Morata scores his side's opening goal against Japan during a World Cup group E soccer match at the Khalifa International Stadium in Doha, Qatar, Thursday, Dec. 1, 2022.
AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko
Laura Paterson @ Dec 05, 2022, 11:14 AM
  • Morocco has surprised so far in this World Cup.
  • Spain must overcome Morocco’s physicality.
  • Spain should win, but it could be tighter than many people expect.

Spain and Morocco will face off in the 2022 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 at Education City on Tuesday, December 6.

Can Spain bounce back from its 2-1 loss to Japan? Or will Morocco beat another one of the tournament’s best teams?

Spain vs. Morocco ​​Prediction, World Cup:

The winning team model predicts Spain will win this Round of 16 game with 47% confidence. The model also predicts a 25% chance of a tie/draw in regular time. 

» Get Win Predictions for Every World Cup Game

Spain vs. Morocco Odds, Outrights, Over/Under

  • Match Result: Spain (-175) | Draw (+270) | Morocco (+550)
  • Draw No Bet: Spain (-600) | Morocco (+360)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (+115) | Under 2.5 (-160)

Spain vs. Morocco Match Info

2022 World Cup — Round of 16

Date: Tuesday, December 6

Time: 10:00 AM ET

Venue: Education City Stadium, Qatar

Coverage: FOX, Telemundo

Spain vs. Morocco Analysis

Spain finished in the second spot in Group E after a surprise loss to Japan. Luis Enrique’s team is undoubtedly one of the most talented in the tournament, but it’s also one of the youngest, and that showed against the Samurai Blue.

La Roja opened their tournament with an emphatic 7-0 bruising of Costa Rica, but then played to a draw against Germany, and then a loss to Japan meant that their hopes of advancing were on tenterhooks. In fact, had Germany lost to Costa Rica, Spain would have followed Die Mannschaft in crashing out in the Group Stages.

Spain’s biggest challenge in this game will be the Morrocan’s physicality. 

While the likes of Gavi and Pedri are technically and creatively astute, they’re going to have to be a lot stronger on the ball if they are to succeed. Veteran attacking midfielder Dani Olmo will be key to winning the ball back in the middle of the pitch.

Alvaro Morata is in fine form going into this game. The striker has scored three times so far, despite only 126 minutes of game time in this tournament.

This is just the second time that Morocco has made it to the Round of 16 in the World Cup. The last time the Atlas Lions came this far was in 1986, when they were knocked out by West Germany.

Morocco could break the record of the longest unbeaten run for an African team in the World Cup with a win on Tuesday – a feat that coach Walid Regragui will be relishing.

Spain is undoubtedly the favorite in this match, but Morocco is no pushover. This team topped Group F, beating both Belgium and Canada while holding Croatia scoreless in a draw. 

Defenders Romain Saiss and Nayef Aguerd will be key to nullifying Spain’s attacking talent, but Hakim Ziyech will provide the impetus further up the pitch. The Chelsea man has played more balls into the box and created more chances than any of his teammates at the World Cup.

Ultimately, I think this will be an entertaining match, as both teams have the players to threaten the opposition’s goal.

Spain is the favorite here, and I do think they will win, but it’s going to be a close game with the potential to go to extra time.

Spain vs. Morocco Game Result Odds

  • Match Result: Spain (-175)
  • Draw No Bet: Spain (-600)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (+115)
  • Alvaro Morata to Score and Spain to Win: (+188)

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About the Author

Laura Paterson

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Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.

Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.