- The Steelers are -2.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- Watch the game on
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The Pittsburgh Steelers visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Aug. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Tampa.
The Steelers are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Steelers vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
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Steelers vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Steelers | -2.5 -110 | 39.5 -110 | -145 |
| Buccaneers | +2.5 -110 | 39.5 -110 | +120 |
Steelers vs. Buccaneers Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this preseason game with 58.7% confidence.
Steelers vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Buccaneers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- George Pickens has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 77% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- Leonard Fournette has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.45 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 72% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Steelers went 10-6 (+3.4 Units / 18.23% ROI).
- Steelers are 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 24.87% ROI
- Steelers are 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
- Steelers are 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / ROI
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Buccaneers went 4-13 (-10.5 Units / -52.5% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -33.03% ROI
- Buccaneers are 6-12 when betting the Over for -7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Buccaneers are 12-6 when betting the Under for +5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Steelers were winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .273.
The Steelers were 5-2 (.714) when playing in cold weather in the 2022 season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Steelers were 1-7 (.125) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 in the 2022 season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .381.
The Steelers were 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception in the 2022 season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .614.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Buccaneers are undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .643.
The Buccaneers were 1-3 (.250) after a home win in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Buccaneers are 11-4 (.733) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .494.
The Buccaneers were undefeated (3-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .590.
Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers had a third down conversion rate of just 5.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — worst in NFL. The Steelers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — fourth-best in NFL.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on just 35.4% of rush attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL. Steelers allowed successful plays on just 30.6% of rush attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL.
The Buccaneers allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 13.3% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL. The Steelers have pressured opposing QBs on just 19.2% of passing plays last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
The Steelers threw for just 6.4 yards per attempt last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed just 6.0 yards per dropback last season — fifth-best in NFL.
Steelers RBs averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch last season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed just 6.7 yards after catch per reception to RBs last season — fourth-best in NFL.
The Steelers scored on 50% of their drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL. The Buccaneers defense allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers averaged 14.7 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
12 of the Steelers offense’s 28 (43%) TDs came through the air in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Steelers had a third down conversion rate of 59% in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Steelers converted first downs on 9 of 25 plays (36%) on plays when their QB was pressured in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers converted first downs on just 11 of 99 plays (11%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Buccaneers ran the ball on 32% of plays (369 carries/1,158 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Buccaneers have thrown the ball 65% of the time (1,482 Pass Attempts/2,299 plays) since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Buccaneers did not convert a first down on 11 plays (0%) when their QB was scrambling in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed 6 rushing TDs on 61 carries (10.2 Carries Per TD) in the red zone in the 2022 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Steelers have been flagged 16 times for 10+ yards on defense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Steelers defense allowed first downs on 21% of rush attempts in the red zone in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Steelers defense allowed first downs on 55% of pass attempts on 3rd down in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense forced three and outs on 29% of opponent drives in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
35% of the plays ran against the Buccaneers were in the red zone in the 3rd quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Buccaneers defense has blitzed 491 times since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 42% of pass attempts in the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
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