- The Steelers are -3 point favorites vs the Falcons
- Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
- Watch the game on NFL Network
The Pittsburgh Steelers visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons on Aug. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Steelers are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Steelers vs. Falcons Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
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Steelers vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Steelers | -3 -110 | 38.5 -110 | -165 |
| Falcons | +3 -110 | 38.5 -110 | +140 |
Steelers vs. Falcons Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this preseason game with 67.7% confidence.
Steelers vs Falcons Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- George Pickens has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Allgeier has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have scored last in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.40 Units / 67% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Steelers went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Steelers are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 64.52% ROI
- Steelers are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Steelers are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Falcons went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Falcons are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 36.76% ROI
- Falcons are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Falcons are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Steelers were winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .273.
The Steelers were winless (0-5) when committing 2 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .296.
The Steelers were 1-4 (.200) vs top 10 run defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .438.
The Steelers are winless (0-9-1) when committing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .278.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Falcons were winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Falcons were 1-7 (.125) on the road in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Falcons are 1-4 (.200) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .626.
The Falcons are 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.
Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons had a third down conversion rate of just 11.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — third-worst in NFL. The Steelers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — fourth-best in NFL.
The Falcons ran successful plays on 38.9% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure last season — second-best in NFL. The Steelers have pressured opposing QBs on just 19.2% of passing plays last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
Falcons WRs had just 104.0 receiving yards per game in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Steelers averaged just 106.5 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL.
Steelers RBs averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch last season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Falcons allowed just 6.8 yards after catch per reception to RBs last season — tied for fifth-best in NFL.
The Steelers ran successful plays on 42.9% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL. The Falcons have pressured opposing QBs on just 12.7% of passing plays in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-worst in NFL.
Steelers QBs were sacked 4 in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fewest in NFL. The Falcons sacked the quarterback 4 times in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers averaged 14.7 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Steelers are averaging 10.6 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers have averaged just 6.1 yards per attempt (5,182 yards/848 attempts) on Early Downs since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.1.
The Steelers faced a blitz just 5% of the time on 3rd and short in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats
The Falcons threw the ball 31% of the time (139 Pass Attempts/450 plays) on 1st down in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Falcons ran the ball on 54% of plays (549 carries/1,011 plays) in the 2022 season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Falcons threw the ball 37% of the time (298 Pass Attempts/797 plays) on Early Downs in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Falcons threw the ball 37% of the time (103 Pass Attempts/281 plays) in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed 6 rushing TDs on 61 carries (10.2 Carries Per TD) in the red zone in the 2022 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Steelers defense did not allow any rushing touchdowns on 10 carries in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.5.
The Steelers defense allowed 12.2 yards per completion (4,066 yards/332 completions) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.0.
The Steelers defense averaged 1.2 interceptions per game (20/17) in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats
The Falcons defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (39/1,175) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Falcons defense hurried opposing QBs on 6% of pass attempts in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 27.7 pass attempts (582 Pass Attempts/21 Sacks) in the 2022 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.9.
The Falcons defense allowed successful plays on 17% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
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