Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks: NBA Finals Game 1 Betting Preview, Lines, Odds, Insights, and Trends for July 6, 2021

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BetMGM @BETMGM Oct 02, 2021, 2:03 AM

The Phoenix Suns (51-21, 12-4) are 5.5-point favorites heading into Game 1 of the NBA Finals against the Milwaukee Bucks (46-26, 12-5) at Phoenix Suns Arena on Tuesday, starting at 9:00 PM ET on ABC. The matchup has a point total of 218.5.

BetMGM NBA Betting Odds

Suns vs Bucks Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Suns -5.5 -110 -110 218.5 -110 -110

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Point Total Insights

  • Phoenix and its opponents have hit the over on Tuesday's 218.5 total in 47 out of 88 games (53.4%) this season.
  • 66 Milwaukee games this year (74.2% of its matchups) ended with a final total higher than Tuesday's over/under of 218.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 232.3 points per game, 13.8 points more than the over/under of 218.5 for this matchup.
  • This matchup's over/under is 1.8 fewer points than the 220.3 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020-21.
  • The Suns have seen a 222.2 average over/under in their games this season, 3.7 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of 11.9 points separates the average total points bet in Bucks' games (230.4 points) and this game's over/under (218.5 points).

Suns Betting Data

  • Phoenix has a 48-39-1 record against the spread this year.
  • The Suns have fared well as a 5.5-point favorite, going 25-21 against the spread when favored by at least 5.5 points.
  • Phoenix and its opponents have hit the over in 53.4% of games (47 out of 88 matchups).

Suns Key Players

  • The Suns scoring leader is Devin Booker, who averages 25.6 points per game.
  • Deandre Ayton paces Phoenix with 10.5 rebounds per game and Chris Paul leads the squad with 8.9 assists per contest.
  • Jae Crowder is the top three-point shooter for the Suns, connecting on 2.5 per game.
  • Phoenix's blocks leader is Ayton, who collects 1.2 per game. Paul leads the team averaging 1.4 steals an outing.

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Suns Last 10 Games

Suns Last Five Games
Date Opponent Result Favored Played As Spread Total Suns Moneyline Opponent Moneyline Game Type Covered Over/Under
6/30/2021 Clippers 130-103 PHO Yes Away -14.5 232.5 -10000 1750 Playoffs Yes Over
6/28/2021 Clippers 116-102 LAC No Home +10.5 228.5 2500 -10000 Playoffs No Under
6/26/2021 Clippers 84-80 PHO Yes Away -2.5 167.5 -225 180 Playoffs Yes Under
6/24/2021 Clippers 106-92 LAC No Away +11.5 195.5 1900 -10000 Playoffs No Over
6/22/2021 Clippers 104-103 PHO Yes Home -4.5 201.5 -350 280 Playoffs No Over
Suns Last 10 Games
Overall Record ATS Record O/U/P AVG Total AVG Pts Scored AVG Pts Allowed AVG Reb. Margin 3Pt %
8-2 5-5 7-3-0 216.3 111.8 104.5 +3.2 34%

Suns Injuries

Suns: None

Place a bet on the Phoenix Suns to win this game with BetMGM online sportsbook.

Bucks Betting Data

  • Milwaukee has a losing record against the spread, going 35-54 ATS (covering only 39.3% of the time).
  • When they are at least 5.5-point underdogs, the Bucks have a record ATS of 25-33.
  • In most of Milwaukee's games this year, the teams have combined to hit the over (51 out of 89 games, 57.3%).

Bucks Key Players

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo holds the top spot on the Bucks leaderboards for both scoring and rebounding with 28.1 points and 11.0 rebounds per game.
  • Jrue Holiday's assist statline leads Milwaukee; he racks up 6.1 assists per game.
  • Bryn Forbes makes 2.2 three-pointers per game, the most on the Bucks.
  • Milwaukee's leader in steals is Holiday (1.6 per game), and its leader in blocks is Brook Lopez (1.5 per game).

Place a bet on the Milwaukee Bucks to win this game with BetMGM online sportsbook.

Bucks Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Result Favored Played As Spread Total Bucks Moneyline Opponent Moneyline Game Type Covered Over/Under
7/3/2021 Hawks 118-107 MIL Yes Away -14.5 221.5 -10000 1700 Playoffs No Over
7/1/2021 Hawks 123-112 MIL Yes Home -13.5 228.5 -5000 1400 Playoffs No Over
6/29/2021 Hawks 110-88 ATL No Away +15.5 197.5 3300 -10000 Playoffs No Over
6/27/2021 Hawks 113-102 MIL Yes Away -2.5 224.5 -150 125 Playoffs Yes Under
6/25/2021 Hawks 125-91 MIL Yes Home -32.5 217.5 -10000 2800 Playoffs Yes Under
Bucks Last 10 Games
Overall Record ATS Record O/U/P AVG Total AVG Pts Scored AVG Pts Allowed AVG Reb. Margin 3Pt %
7-3 4-6 5-5-0 216.2 111.4 104.8 +4.4 33.2%

Bucks Injuries

Bucks: Donte DiVincenzo: Out For Season (Foot), Giannis Antetokounmpo: Day To Day (Knee)

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.