Suns vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 9

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 09, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Nuggets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Tuesday, May 9, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Phoenix Suns visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Nuggets Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 46-43 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 49-41 against the spread.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Suns vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+6.5 -110O 227.5 -110+200
Denver Nuggets -6.5 -110U 227.5 -110-250

Nuggets vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 62.7% confidence.

Nuggets vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+18.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 46 away games (+16.29 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 55 of their last 92 games (+15.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 87 games (+31.46 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 40 games at home (+24.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+9.94 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+7.25 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 46-43 (-1.3 Units / -1.3% ROI).

  • 51-40 against the Moneyline (+0.35 Units / 0.15% ROI)
  • 48-40 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 4% ROI)
  • 40-48 against the Under for game total points (-12.8 Units / -12.79% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 49-41 (+3.9 Units / 3.9% ROI).

  • 59-32 against the Moneyline (-0.95 Units / -0.38% ROI)
  • 44-46 against the Over for game total points (-6.6 Units / -6.59% ROI)
  • 46-44 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -2.4% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 87 games (-42.62 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 games (-21.50 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 41 games (-17.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 90 games (-16.52 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 46 games at home (-15.59 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-24.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 94 games (-22.91 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 93 games (-22.52 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 85 games (-18.74 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 72 games (-16.10 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Suns are 43-10 (.811) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

The Suns are 34-11 (.756) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Suns are 52-17 (.754) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Suns are 63-22 (.741) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Nuggets are 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Denver Nuggets are 42-13 (.764) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (2,433 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for third-highest among NBA teams.

The Denver Nuggets are 69-24 (.742) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 51.1 rebounds per game (8,388 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

The Nuggets are 48-18 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. SunsTuesday‘s Game, May 9

  • Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported
  • Chris Paul (Suns): Paul will be re-evaluated in a week according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (3,051 assists/ 1,561 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (3,196 assists/ 1,528 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (4,479 assists/ 2,170 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,145 assists/ 1,107 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (5,378/10,546) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 50% (3,554/7,136) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,723/7,286) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets have averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 7.6 steals per game (1,804 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have 1,804 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (428 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (496 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (673 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (329 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (500 blocks/118 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


Bet now on Nuggets vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.