The Kansas City Chiefs blitzed the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for 240 yards of offense and 17 points on four first-quarter drives in their Week 12 meeting in Tampa. They scored 10 total points–three in the second quarter and seven in the third quarter–on their next seven drives of an eventual 27-24 win.
In failing to score in the fourth quarter, the Chiefs snapped a five-game streak with at least one score in every quarter. Prior to that streak, they failed to score in every quarter in each of their first five games. And after the streak, including the Week 12 win in Tampa, they failed to score in every quarter in six of their final eight games. Those numbers matter for one Super Bowl prop bet: Will the Chiefs score in every quarter of the game?
The Chiefs were the only team in the NFL that scored in at least three quarters of every regular-season game. And they led the league in average quarters scored in (3.4). Their seven games with a score in every quarter came against seven different teams, six of which finished the season ranked 14th or worse in scoring defense and 10th or worse in defensive DVOA. In five games against top-10 scoring defenses, the Chiefs scored in every quarter only once: Week 15 against the New Orleans Saints. That was their last every-quarter scoring game.
One of 327 available bets for the Super Bowl on BetMGM, that prop bet features vigs of +125 for Yes and -150 for No. Wager $100 to win $225 on Yes or wager $100 to win $166.67 on No. While the return is smaller, the numbers say No is the smarter play.
Listen to High Motor by BetMGM for more Super Bowl betting analysis:
Place NFL Wagers at BetMGM
Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM and host of High Motor by BetMGM, an NFL and college football podcast available on Apple Podcasts and everywhere else. He has written for Sports Illustrated, HERO Sports, Bleacher Report, and SB Nation. Follow him on Twitter: @DoughtyBetMGM.