Tarleton State vs Utah Valley Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 11:31 AM
  • Utah Valley (24-7) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State (17-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Tarleton State Texans (17-15) visit Orleans Arena to take on the Utah Valley Wolverines (24-7) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Las Vegas.

Utah Valley is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Tarleton State vs. Utah Valley Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Tarleton State vs. Utah Valley Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tarleton State+6.5 -110O 136.5 -105+220
Utah Valley -6.5 -110U 136.5 -115-275

Tarleton State vs Utah Valley Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah Valley will win this game with 64.4% confidence.

Tarleton State vs Utah Valley Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah Valley will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tarleton State and Utah Valley, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Utah Valley vs Tarleton State and all games with BetMGM


  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.15 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 24 games at home (+22.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 18 games at home (+15.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Utah Valley have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.60 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Utah Valley have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has gone 13-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.45 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -11.97% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI

Utah Valley Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah Valley has gone 20-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+11.2 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • 21-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +14 Units / 17.36% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State is shooting 32% from three (257/810) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tarleton State has an eFG% of 50% this season — 4th lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 52%

Utah Valley Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah Valley has averaged 15.7 assists per game (376 assists/24 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Utah Valley has 20.8 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Utah Valley has averaged 15.7 assists per game (376 assists/24 games) this season — 2nd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 13.9

Utah Valley is shooting 33% from three (162/487) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 20.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,062 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Tarleton State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (203 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Tarleton State has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (461 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has 203 steals this season — 3rd most among WAC Teams

Utah Valley Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah Valley has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,634 points/1,531 shots) this season — best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.22

Utah Valley has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,718 points/3,461 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Utah Valley has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,634 points/1,531 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Utah Valley has averaged 28.8 defensive rebounds per game (691 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.