- TCU (16-4) are -1.5 point favorites vs Mississippi State (12-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN2
The TCU Horned Frogs (16-4) visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-8) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Starkville.
TCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The TCU vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 131.5 total points.
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TCU vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| TCU | -1.5 -115 | 131.5 -110 | -135 |
| Mississippi State | +1.5 -105 | 131.5 -110 | +110 |
TCU vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 55.9% confidence.
TCU vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Mississippi State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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TCU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 35 games (+20.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+19.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- TCU has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 46 games (+19.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- TCU have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 46 games (+14.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 44 games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 33 games (+14.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
TCU has gone 11-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.3 Units / 0% ROI).
- 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 17.62% ROI
- 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
- 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has gone 8-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -9.41% ROI
- 5-15 when betting the Over for -11.5 Units / -52.27% ROI
- 15-5 when betting the Under for +9.5 Units / 43.18% ROI
TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:
TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams
TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7
TCU made 3.4 three-pointers per game in half court possessions last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.6
TCU made 1.3 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.9
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has a TS% of 42% this season — lowest among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 47%
Mississippi State is shooting 61% from the free throw line (235/382) this season — 2nd lowest among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 72%
Mississippi State is shooting 61% from the free throw line (235/382) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State is shooting 28% from three (118/419) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%
TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:
TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%
TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%
TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%
TCU has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (653 points/588 shots) in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 9.4 steals per game (188 steals/20 games) this season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Mississippi State has 188 steals this season — 5th most among Power 5 Conference teams
Mississippi State has 188 steals this season — 3rd most among SEC Teams
Mississippi State has averaged 7.4 steals per game (156 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3
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