TCU vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:20 AM
  • Oklahoma State (13-9) are -4.5 point favorites vs TCU (17-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The TCU Horned Frogs (17-5) visit Gallagher-Iba Arena to take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (13-9) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Stillwater.

Oklahoma State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The TCU vs. Oklahoma State Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+4.5 -115O 138.5 -110+150
Oklahoma State -4.5 -105U 138.5 -110-185

TCU vs Oklahoma State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oklahoma State will win this game with 59.9% confidence.

TCU vs Oklahoma State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Oklahoma State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 37 games (+20.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 games (+19.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 48 games (+19.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 49 games (+15.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 46 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+18.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has gone 13-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 16.19% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI

Oklahoma State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Oklahoma State has gone 12-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.95 Units / 3.92% ROI).

  • 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -1.42% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.3 Units / -26.03% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 17.36% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU is shooting 57% from inside the arc (185/326) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

TCU is shooting 63% (173/274) on shots around the rim this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 55%

TCU has averaged 1.26 points per shot (346 points/274 shots) on shots around the rim this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.11

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma St. had a TS% of 40% in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Oklahoma St. shot 34% (15/44) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Oklahoma St. had an eFG% of 39% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Oklahoma St. had a TS% of 43% in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 47% on catch and shoot opportunities (23/49) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 17% (4/23) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 47% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (23/49) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Oklahoma State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma St. forced 5.2 turnovers per game (94 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

Oklahoma State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% (231/640) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 41%

Oklahoma St. allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (631 points/521 shots) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.35

Oklahoma State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (475/1,258) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.