TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2023, 11:04 AM
  • Texas Tech (16-12) is a -2.5 point favorite vs TCU (18-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The TCU Horned Frogs (18-10) visit United Supermarkets Arena to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (16-12) on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Lubbock.

Texas Tech is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The TCU vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+2.5 -115O 144.5 -110+115
Texas Tech -2.5 -105U 144.5 -110-135

TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 55.7% confidence.

TCU vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Texas Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 43 games (+17.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+17.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+13.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games at home (+15.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has gone 14-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 5.81% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has gone 13-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.48% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 12.66% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -21.43% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU is shooting 63% (281/447) on shots around the rim this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 57%

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU is shooting 57% (267/471) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech made 0.3 three-pointers per game in transition last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Texas Tech shot 68% from inside the arc (26/38) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed 6.7 points per game (121 points/18 games) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 37% (267/721) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.