Tennessee vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 11:03 AM
  • Auburn (19-11) is a Auburn -2.5 point favorite vs Tennessee (22-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Tennessee Volunteers (22-8) visit Neville Arena to take on the Auburn Tigers (19-11) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Auburn.

Auburn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Tennessee vs. Auburn Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

Bet now on Auburn vs Tennessee & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Tennessee vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee+2.5 -110O 129.5 -110+120
Auburn -2.5 -110U 129.5 -110-145

Tennessee vs Auburn Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 55.3% confidence.

Tennessee vs Auburn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and Auburn, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Auburn vs Tennessee and all games with BetMGM


  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+2.40 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has gone 16-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI).

  • 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.35 Units / -22.94% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Auburn has gone 14-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.6 Units / -10.93% ROI).

  • 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 1.3% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.65 Units / 8.02% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -17.3% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has averaged 16.7 assists per game (952 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.8

Tennessee has averaged 16.7 assists per game (952 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.2

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (264 assists/ 246 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Tennessee has averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (299 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn is shooting 31% from three (410/1,319) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Auburn is shooting 30% from three (136/455) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (826 assists/ 695 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Auburn is shooting 69% from the free throw line (322/467) this season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has 204 steals this season — 5th most among Power Conference teams

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (530 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (530 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (204 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has 179 steals this season — 5th most among SEC Teams

Auburn has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,514 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Auburn has averaged 8.2 steals per game (462 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Auburn has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5


Bet now on Auburn vs Tennessee and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.