Tennis Odds: Will the French Open be Rafael Nadal’s to Dominate Once Again?

ROME, ITALY - MAY 12: Rafael Nadal of Spain serves on day 5 of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia match between Rafael Nadal of Spain and Jannik Sinner of Italy at Foro Italico on May 12, 2021 in Rome, Italy. Sporting stadiums around Italy remain under strict restrictions due to the Coronavirus Pandemic as Government social distancing laws prohibit fans inside venues resulting in games being played behind closed doors. (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)
(Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

Rafael Nadal has won so many French Open titles that tennis fans may be wondering if they’ll rename the tournament after him one day. He has captured 13 of them since his first title there in 2005, with only three hiccups along the way. He should get a lot of attention this month as fans bet online on the French Open.

While his 2021 season has seen Nadal struggle a bit — at least by his standards — he is still a massive favorite to capture the French Open again. While he’s not expected to nab either of the top two seeds going into the tournament, he still should be a massive threat at Roland Garros Stadium. The French Open begins on May 30 and will run through June 13.

Nadal is currently 14-3 and holds the world’s No. 3 ranking. His losses this year have been to Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Australian Open in February, Andrey Rublev in the Monte-Carlo Masters in April, and Alexander Zverev earlier this month in the Madrid Open. 

It’s not like Nadal has dropped matches to drastically inferior competition. All three losses have come to top-10 ranked players, but it has shown a shakeup is possible as the soon-to-be 35-year old continues his 20-year tennis career.

Being out of the top-two seeds based on 2021 results is hardly a problem. Nadal is traditionally strong on clay courts (like Roland Garros) and should have a chance to build momentum in the early going of the May-June tournament. 

No matter what seed Nadal gets when it is announced, he still leads the tennis betting odds. Nadal already sits atop the list at +100, while Novak Djokovic (+350), Dominic Thiem (+550), Tsitspas (+650) and Zverev (+1200) round out the list of tennis favorites.

NADAL’S FRENCH OPEN DOMINANCE

Tournament winners:

2020 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2019 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2018 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2017 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2016 Novak Djokovic (Serbia)

2015 Stan Wawrinka (Switzerland)

2014 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2013 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2012 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2011 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2010 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2009 Roger Federer (Switzerland)

2008 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2007 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2006 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

2005 Rafael Nadal (Spain)

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Brian McLaughlin is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of BMac and Herd’s FCS Podcast. He has written for The Sporting News, headed up the PARADE Magazine High School All America teams, covered FCS college football for HERO Sports. Follow BMac on Twitter @BrianMacWriter. 

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