- The Saints are -3.5 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Houston Texans visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints on Aug. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans.
The Saints are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Texans vs. Saints Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texans | +3.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 | +150 |
| Saints | -3.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 | -185 |
Texans vs. Saints Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Texans will win this preseason game with 56.4% confidence.
Texans vs Saints Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Saints, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Davis Mills has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rex Burkhead has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jarvis Landry has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Texans went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Texans are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 60.61% ROI
- Texans are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Texans are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Saints went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Saints are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 80% ROI
- Saints are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Saints are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Texans are 2-14-1 (.118) at home since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .536.
The Texans are 2-20-1 (.087) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Texans are winless (0-12) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .487.
The Texans were winless (0-6) vs top 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .503.
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Saints are 1-3-1 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.
The Saints were 2-5 (.286) after a win in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .532.
The Saints were 1-3 (.250) after a home win in the 2022 season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Saints were 2-5 (.286) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. New Orleans Saints
The Saints ran successful plays on 48.9% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last season — third-best in NFL. Texans allowed successful plays on 53.5% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last season — third-worst in NFL.
The Saints gained at least 5 yards on 48.7% of first down plays last season — best in NFL. The Texans allowed at least 5 yards on 46.4% of first down plays last season — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Saints rushed the ball on 76.9% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — highest in NFL. The Texans have allowed 5 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-most in NFL.
The Texans ran successful plays on just 38.9% of pass attempts last season — third-worst in NFL. Saints allowed successful plays on just 40.9% of pass attempts last season — third-best in NFL.
The Texans ran just 38.6% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last season — second-worst in NFL. Saints allowed their opponents to runjust 40.3% of plays in their territory last season — third-best in NFL.
The Texans averaged just 301 yards from scrimmage per game (5,122 YFS / 17 G) last season — worst in NFL. The Saints allowed an average of just 332.1 yards from scrimmage per game (5,645/17) last season — fifth-best in NFL.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans have converted first downs on just 66 of 301 plays (22%) in close and late situations since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Texans ran successful plays on 11% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have converted first downs on just 488 of 2,021 plays (24%) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Texans committed 31 turnovers in the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats
The Saints did not record a TD in 14 drives in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Saints converted first downs on just 4 of 40 plays (10%) on plays up the middle in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Saints were sacked on 24% of pass attempts (5/21) in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Saints threw the ball 35% of the time (83 Pass Attempts/235 plays) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Texans defense allowed 178.1 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 128.5.
The Texans defense allowed 2,905 rushing yards in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
Offenses facing the Texans threw the ball 46% of the time (522 Pass Attempts/1,131 plays) in the 2022 season — tied for lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Opponents ran the ball 32.4 times per game against The Texans defense (550 carries / 17 games) in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 26.4.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats
The Saints defense allowed first downs on 58% of rush attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Saints defense allowed a passer rating of just 52.1 (104 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 85.6.
The Saints defense allowed an average of 2.2 yards after contact per carry (480 carries) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.7.
The Saints defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 18% when blitzing in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
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