Texas vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:37 AM
  • Texas (18-4) are -1.5 point favorites vs Kansas State (18-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Texas Longhorns (18-4) visit Bramlage Coliseum to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (18-4) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Manhattan.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Texas vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Texas vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas-1.5 -105O 150.5 -105-120
Kansas State +1.5 -115U 150.5 -115+100

Texas vs Kansas State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 51.0% confidence.

Texas vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 32 games (+17.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 games (+15.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 49 games (+11.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has gone 9-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.99% ROI).

  • 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 6.49% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Over for +3.2 Units / 13.22% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -21.49% ROI

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has gone 15-6 against the spread this college basketball season (+8.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 16-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.9 Units / 20.19% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas is shooting 52% (42/81) in possessions with at least three passes this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 40%

Texas has a TS% of 60% in possessions with at least three passes this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Texas is shooting 56% from inside the arc (39/70) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 109 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. averaged 2.2 turnovers per game (42 turnovers/19 games) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 3.3

Kansas St. attempted 301 threes in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed 0.3 made three-pointers per game in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. allowed 55.0 points per game (1,155 points/21 games) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50.5

Kansas St. allowed opponents to shoot 26% on catch and shoot opportunities (8/31) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.