Texas Rio Grande Valley vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:57 AM
  • Tarleton State (12-10) are -9.5 point favorites vs Texas Rio Grande Valley (11-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Texas Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (11-12) visit Wisdom Gym to take on the Tarleton State Texans (12-10) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Stephenville.

Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Rio Grande Valley+9.5 -115O 146.5 -105+360
Tarleton State -9.5 -105U 146.5 -115-500

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this game with 67.6% confidence.

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Rio Grande Valley will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Rio Grande Valley and Tarleton State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+3.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)

Texas Rio Grande Valley Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Rio Grande Valley has gone 10-10 against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 9.74% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 9.98% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.05 Units / -18.45% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has gone 9-9 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 1.23% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Texas Rio Grande Valley Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Rio Grande Valley has 26.3 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Texas Rio Grande Valley has averaged 16.5 turnovers per game (379 turnovers/23 games) this season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Texas Rio Grande Valley has 26.3 free throw attempts per game this season — best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 20.8

Texas Rio Grande Valley has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (736 assists/ 843 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has a TS% of 45% this season — 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has averaged 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (199 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Texas Rio Grande Valley Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Rio Grande Valley has averaged 5.0 steals per game (114 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Texas Rio Grande Valley has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (587 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Texas Rio Grande Valley has averaged 5.1 steals per game (276 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Texas Rio Grande Valley has averaged 5.0 steals per game (114 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 20.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,062 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Tarleton State has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (461 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (203 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Tarleton State has 203 steals this season — 3rd most among WAC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.