Texas Southern vs Grambling State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2023, 11:06 AM
  • Grambling State (24-8) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Texas Southern (13-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Texas Southern Tigers (13-20) visit Bartow Arena to take on the Grambling State Tigers (24-8) on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 5:30pm EST in Birmingham.

Grambling State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Texas Southern vs. Grambling State Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Texas Southern vs. Grambling State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Southern+3.5 -110O 130.5 -110+145
Grambling State -3.5 -110U 130.5 -110-175

Texas Southern vs Grambling State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Grambling State will win this game with 64.5% confidence.

Texas Southern vs Grambling State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Southern will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Southern and Grambling State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Texas Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Texas Southern has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Texas Southern has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Texas Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 24 away games (+5.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Texas Southern has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Grambling has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+25.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Grambling has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Grambling have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Grambling has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)

Texas Southern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Southern has gone 10-21 against the spread this college basketball season (-13.1 Units / -38.42% ROI).

  • 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -28.28% ROI
  • 14-17 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI
  • 17-14 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI

Grambling State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Grambling State has gone 19-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.9 Units / 20.97% ROI).

  • 22-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.55 Units / 28.61% ROI
  • 11-19 when betting the Over for -9.85 Units / -29.89% ROI
  • 19-11 when betting the Under for +6.9 Units / 20.88% ROI

Texas Southern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Southern has an eFG% of 46% this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Texas Southern is shooting 26% from three (97/375) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Texas Southern has a TS% of 42% this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas Southern has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (257 assists/ 328 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Grambling State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Grambling State has a 40% free throw rate (455 free throw attempts/1,148 field goal attempts) this season — highest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Grambling State is shooting 64% from the free throw line (290/455) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Grambling State has 21.7 free throw attempts per game this season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 19.0

Grambling State is shooting 35% from three (114/325) this season — 4th best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Texas Southern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Southern has averaged 25.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,396 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Texas Southern has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (550 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Texas Southern has averaged 6.1 steals per game (328 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas Southern has averaged 6.9 steals per game (151 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Grambling State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Grambling State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,271 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Grambling State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (504 rebounds/21 games) this season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Grambling State has averaged 7.3 steals per game (153 steals/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Grambling State has averaged 6.9 steals per game (364 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.