- Louisiana (24-7) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Texas State (16-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Texas State Bobcats (16-18) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (24-7) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Pensacola.
Louisiana is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Texas State vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 137.5 total points.
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Texas State vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Texas State | +6.5 -105 | O 137.5 -110 | +250 |
Louisiana | -6.5 -115 | U 137.5 -110 | -300 |
Texas State vs Louisiana Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 63.0% confidence.
Texas State vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas State and Louisiana, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Texas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+12.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.90 Units / 76% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 away games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Louisiana Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games (+17.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Louisiana have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)
Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas State has gone 10-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-10.9 Units / 0% ROI).
- 13-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -7.87% ROI
- 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI
- 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI
Louisiana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Louisiana has gone 15-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 0% ROI).
- 21-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 15.4% ROI
- 17-10 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 19.48% ROI
- 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units / -28.25% ROI
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Texas State has an eFG% of 46% this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 51%
Texas State has averaged 9.8 assists per game (235 assists/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends:
Louisiana has averaged 1.37 points per shot (1,849 points/1,348 shots) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22
Louisiana is shooting 40% from three (178/444) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%
Louisiana is shooting 49% (666/1,348) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 45%
Louisiana has averaged 1.29 points per shot (4,052 points/3,140 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7
Texas State has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,165 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0
Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Texas State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (160 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Louisiana Defensive Stats & Trends:
Louisiana has averaged 24.3 defensive rebounds per game (558 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7
Louisiana has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,352 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0
Louisiana has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (142/410) this season — 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Louisiana has allowed 69.9 points per game (3,774 points/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 67.8
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