- Troy (13-11) are -4.5 point favorites vs Texas State (11-13)
- Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Texas State Bobcats (11-13) visit Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans (13-11) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Troy.
Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Texas State vs. Troy Over/Under is 128.5 total points.
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Texas State vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas State | +4.5 -105 | O 128.5 -110 | +175 |
| Troy | -4.5 -115 | U 128.5 -110 | -210 |
Texas State vs Troy Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 61.1% confidence.
Texas State vs Troy Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas State and Troy, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Texas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 away games (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
Troy Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 38 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas State has gone 6-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-9.4 Units / 0% ROI).
- 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -16.54% ROI
- 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI
- 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Troy has gone 11-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -3.09% ROI
- 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Texas State has averaged 9.8 assists per game (235 assists/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
Texas State has averaged 64.5 points per game (1,547 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 72.3
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:
Troy has made 7.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Troy has a 31% free throw rate (442 free throw attempts/1,414 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 30%
Troy is shooting 32% from three (425/1,312) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Troy has averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,748 points/1,414 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7
Texas State has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,165 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0
Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Texas State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (160 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:
Troy has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7
Troy has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Troy has averaged 8.5 steals per game (205 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Troy has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams
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