Texas State vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

min read
basketball on college basketball court
AP Photo
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 12:22 PM
  • Troy (13-11) are -4.5 point favorites vs Texas State (11-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (11-13) visit Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans (13-11) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Troy.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Texas State vs. Troy Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

Bet now on Troy vs Texas State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Texas State vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+4.5 -105O 128.5 -110+175
Troy -4.5 -115U 128.5 -110-210

Texas State vs Troy Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 61.1% confidence.

Texas State vs Troy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas State and Troy, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Troy vs Texas State and all games with BetMGM


  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 away games (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 38 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has gone 6-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-9.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -16.54% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has gone 11-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -3.09% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has averaged 9.8 assists per game (235 assists/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Texas State has averaged 64.5 points per game (1,547 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 72.3

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has made 7.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Troy has a 31% free throw rate (442 free throw attempts/1,414 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 30%

Troy is shooting 32% from three (425/1,312) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Troy has averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,748 points/1,414 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Texas State has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,165 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Texas State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (160 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Troy has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Troy has averaged 8.5 steals per game (205 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Troy has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams


Bet now on Troy vs Texas State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.