The Miami Dolphins are failing to cover the spread by an average of 6.3 points per game this season, and have covered in just three of their last 11 games dating back to the final two weeks of last season. One NFL betting trend, however, is on their side against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 10.
The Dolphins opened as 7-point home underdogs at BetMGM for Thursday Night Football on Nov. 11. The line quickly moved to +7.5 and, hours before kickoff, jumped to +8.5. If it closed at +8.5 (or higher), it would be the fourth time this season a Thursday line has moved at least 1.5 points in favor of the underdog (i.e., the underdog became a bigger underdog) and the 14th time since 2018.
In the previous 13 instances, the underdog covered nine times, most recently the Green Bay Packers covering +6.5 in an outright win over the Arizona Cardinals in Week 9. It’s a reversal of trend from the previous four seasons (2014-17) when the dog went 8-14-1 against the spread on Thursday Night Football. In all NFL games this season with movement of at least 1.5 points, the underdog is 24-11-1 ATS.
You can view the updated odds for the Ravens-Dolphins and all Week 11 NFL betting odds at the BetMGM sportsbook.
Bet on Thursday Night Football
At BetMGM, you can bet on Thursday Night Football odds the entire year. Whether you like NFL bets like spreads, money lines, and over/under totals, or prop bets and live betting, there’s something for everyone during Thursday Night Football.