- The Cardinals are -225 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Detroit Tigers (+185) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-225) on Friday, May 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Tigers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 13-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 12-20 ATS.
Tigers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -105 | O 8 -105 | +185 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -115 | U 8 -115 | -225 |
Tigers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+15.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 57% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+7.60 Units / 39% ROI)
Cardinals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cardinals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Cardinals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Cardinals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+7.00 Units / 79% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 61% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 17-13 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 3.62% ROI).
- 13-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 12% ROI
- 14-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -7.36% ROI
- 15-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.61% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 12-20 against the Run Line (-11.1 Units / -27.85% ROI).
- 10-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.6 Units / -41.41% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -13.94% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 4.72% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 5% (1/19) against Matthew Boyd on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 13% (2/15) against Matthew Boyd when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 4% (1/24) against Matthew Boyd on inside fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (8/50) against Matthew Boyd’s fastball this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has an ERA of 0.46 (19.2 IP) on the road this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.09 — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strike rate of just 58% (97/167) in two strike counts this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strike rate of just 53% (111/211) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .235 (4-for-17) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .350 — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Tigers are 6-1 (.857) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .601.
The Tigers are just 10-79 (.112) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Tigers are just 5-10 (.333) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Tigers are 7-1 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Cardinals are 19-4 (.826) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 7-3 (.700) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .890.
The Cardinals are just 10-20 (.333) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Cardinals are just 2-19 (.095) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .611 (5,238 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .278 (5,238 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .219 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .333 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .462 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .849 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .587.
Cardinals hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
Cardinals hitters have 280 extra-base hits out of 660 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 86 of 1,117 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 152 of 1,696 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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