- The Guardians are -190 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-190) on Monday, May 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 15-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 14-20 ATS.
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -130 | O 7.5 -105 | +155 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +105 | U 7.5 -115 | -190 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 34 games (+17.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+12.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+10.35 Units / 94% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 19-14 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 5.26% ROI).
- 15-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 18.64% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 1.5% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -9.58% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 14-20 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -16% ROI).
- 16-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -16.59% ROI
- 11-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.15 Units / -35.21% ROI
- 22-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.95 Units / 26.53% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Wentz allowed a slugging percentage of 1.062 (17 Total Bases / 16 ABs) against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .389 — first Percentile.
Joey Wentz has a strike rate of just 58% (86/149) in two strike counts this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Joey Wentz has a strikeout rate of just 12% (3 SO in 25 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 22% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents batted .360 (9-for-25) against Joey Wentz — 3rd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .233 — third Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (3/15) against Tanner Bibee — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Tanner Bibee did not walk any of the 43 batters that he faced over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 24% (7/29) against Tanner Bibee over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Tanner Bibee threw his slider 39% of the time (72/183) over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Tigers are just 3-102 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Tigers are just 38-61 (.384) on the road since last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Tigers are just 81-114 (.415) since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 21-68 (.236) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Guardians are 21-45 (.318) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Guardians are 5-11 (.312) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .149.
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .279 (5,305 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .615 (2,242 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .612 (5,305 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .348 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 978 strikeouts in 5,492 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .330 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .325 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 15 of 309 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 103 of 1,769 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 530 of 7,273 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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