Tigers vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 19, 2023, 12:00 PM
  • The Tigers are -110 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez, 0.00 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl, 8.59 ERA
  • Watch the game on broadcast home

The Detroit Tigers (-110) visit The Ballpark of the Palm Beaches to take on the Washington Nationals (-110) on Sunday, March 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in West Palm Beach.

The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Tigers vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Tigers are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 10-7 ATS.

Tigers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +145O 9 -120-110
Nationals +1.5 -175U 9 +100-110

Tigers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Yadiel Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Alex Call has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Israel Pineda has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.10 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Ehire Adrianza has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+11.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 away games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 away games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 95 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 69 games (+4.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 48 games (+1.75 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 43 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 6-10 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -18.8% ROI).

  • 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 10.71% ROI
  • 12-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units / 42.33% ROI
  • 4-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.35 Units / -53.13% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 5.66% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 17.06% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -44.41% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 34.85% ROI

Opponents had a miss rate of just 13% (17/128) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season is 381.6 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 381.6 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 399.7

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .343 (23 GB hits out of 67 GBs) against Eduardo Rodriguez with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Tigers are just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Nationals are just 26-55 (.321) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Nationals are just 17-94 (.153) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Nationals are just 11-193 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Nationals are just 9-92 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.

Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.81 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 32% at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have 599 extra-base hits out of 1,870 total hits (just 32%) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Nationals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.