- The Tigers are -105 favorites vs the Nationals
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on Saturday, May 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Tigers vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 20-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 28-17 ATS.
Tigers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -110 | -105 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 -110 | -115 |
Tigers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jake Rogers has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+14.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Nationals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Nationals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
Nationals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Nationals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Alex Faedo | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+12.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 19 away games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games (+12.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 24-18 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 7.85% ROI).
- 20-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units / 18.21% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -2.34% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -5.82% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 28-17 against the Run Line (+8.45 Units / 14.94% ROI).
- 18-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 4.99% ROI
- 19-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -10.38% ROI
- 22-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 2.83% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Faedo has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 12 innings — tied with Carlos Estevez for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Alex Faedo had a strike rate of 71% (61/86) — 5th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 57% of Alex Faedo’s pitches (90/158) over the last 30 days (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 42% (17/40) against Alex Faedo over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 14% (31 SO in 222 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 5% (3 SO in 65 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 6% (3 SO in 53 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 30% (31 SO in 102 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Tigers are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Tigers are 9-2 (.818) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .581.
The Tigers are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Tigers are just 12-83 (.126) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Nationals are just 23-43 (.348) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Nationals are just 11-21 (.344) after a home win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Nationals are just 24-116 (.171) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Nationals are just 3-5 (.375) after a win as favorites since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .599.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .615 (5,580 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .281 (5,580 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (2,340 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .335 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 89 strikeouts in 525 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have 63 extra-base hits out of 258 total hits (just 24%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .330 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 1.70 (53.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D15
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