- The Tigers are -105 favorites vs the Royals
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 21-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 19-31 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -120 | -105 |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | U 9 +100 | -115 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jake Rogers has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+11.30 Units / 126% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+9.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 42 games (+8.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Riley Greene | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 25-21 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 0.87% ROI).
- 21-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 11.23% ROI
- 23-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -2.72% ROI
- 22-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -5.53% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 19-31 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -27.83% ROI).
- 15-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -29% ROI
- 22-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -12.31% ROI
- 26-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 3.2% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 7% (2/30) against Matthew Boyd on inside fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.133 (17 Total Bases / 15 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .596 — second Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (9/21) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .533 (8-for-15) against Matthew Boyd on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .357 — fourth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (17/163) against Zack Greinke this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Zack Greinke has walked 7 of 216 batters (3%) this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .192 (5-for-26) against Zack Greinke on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — 97th Percentile.
Zack Greinke has a strikeout rate of just 17% (36 SO in 216 PAs) this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Tigers are 12-2 (.857) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .609.
The Tigers are 11-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Tigers are just 10-14 (.417) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 5-58 (.079) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
The Royals are just 3-7 (.300) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .680.
The Royals are just 1-32 (.030) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Royals are just 10-7 (.588) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .616 (5,705 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,705 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .601 (2,383 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .648 (1,742 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (1,383 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .276 (911 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% against Tigers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 63 of 481 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have walked 193 of 1,910 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D15
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