Titans vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL Preseason

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(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 10, 2023, 3:40 PM
  • The Bears are -3.5 point favorites vs the Titans
  • Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
  • Watch the game on Broadcast Channel

The Tennessee Titans visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears on Aug. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Chicago.

The Bears are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Titans vs. Bears Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.

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Titans vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Titans+3.5 -11037.5 -110+140
Bears -3.5 -11037.5 -110-165

Titans vs. Bears Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Titans will win this preseason game with 51.5% confidence.

Titans vs Bears Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Titans and Bears, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 away games (+7.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.95 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 17 games (+14.80 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+8.95 Units / 108% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Titans went 9-7 (+1.1 Units / 5.84% ROI).

  • Titans are 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -21.48% ROI
  • Titans are 5-12 when betting the Over for -8.2 Units / -43.85% ROI
  • Titans are 12-5 when betting the Under for +6.5 Units / ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Bears went 5-11 (-7.15 Units / -38.13% ROI).

  • Bears are 3-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -44.23% ROI
  • Bears are 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
  • Bears are 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Titans were winless (0-4) vs top 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.

The Titans were winless (0-3) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.

The Titans were winless (0-4) when trailing at the end of the third quarter in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .215.

The Titans were 1-6 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Bears are winless (0-10) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.

The Bears are 6-8 (.429) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .763.

The Bears were 2-10 (.167) after a loss in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .463.

The Bears are winless (0-14) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .381.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears

The Bears went three and out on 26.7% of their drives in the second half last season — fifth-worst in NFL. Titans forced three and outs on 26.5% of opponent drives in the second half last season — third-best in NFL.

Bears RBs averaged just 64.2 rushing yards per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Titans allowed an average of just 63.8 rushing yards per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.

The Bears went three and out on 44% of their drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL. Titans forced three and outs on 34.6% of opponent drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-best in NFL.

The Titans rushed the ball on 47.8% of plays from scrimmage last season — fifth-highest in NFL. The Bears allowed 5.2 yards per carry last season — fifth-worst in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans converted first downs on just 37 of 201 plays (18%) in close and late situations in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Titans averaged 16.7 drives per TD in close and late situations in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Titans scored on 14% of their drives in close and late situations in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Titans scored on 18% of their drives in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats

43% of the Bears offense’s first downs (109 of 256) came through the air in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Bears were sacked on 13% of pass attempts (58/434) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Bears threw the ball 38% of the time (376 Pass Attempts/990 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Bears ran the ball on 55% of plays (544 carries/990 plays) in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

The Titans defense allowed 290.3 receiving yards per game (4,935/17) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 233.7.

The Titans defense allowed 274.8 passing yards per game (4,671/17) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 217.8.

The Titans defense allowed successful plays on 35% of rush attempts in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Titans defense allowed successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats

The Bears defense allowed first downs on 49% of plays on 3rd down in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Bears defense allowed 31 rushing TDs in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Bears defense averaged a sack every 25.0 pass attempts (501 Pass Attempts/20 Sacks) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.9.

The Bears defense allowed first downs on 44% of pass attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.