Troy vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2023, 1:33 PM
  • Troy (17-12) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Louisiana-Monroe (11-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Troy Trojans (17-12) visit Fant-Ewing Coliseum to take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (11-18) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Monroe.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Troy vs. Louisiana-Monroe Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Louisiana-Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy-4.5 -115O 132.5 -110-210
Louisiana-Monroe +4.5 -105U 132.5 -110+175

Troy vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 60.5% confidence.

Troy vs Louisiana-Monroe Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Louisiana-Monroe, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games (+16.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 away games (+11.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 away games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 44 games (+4.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+14.35 Units / 87% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 47 games (+9.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has gone 13-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 2.83% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.04% ROI

Louisiana-Monroe Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana-Monroe has gone 12-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / -11.87% ROI).

  • 8-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 24.36% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy is shooting 32% from three (185/579) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Troy has averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,748 points/1,414 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Troy has averaged 14.1 assists per game (339 assists/24 games) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 13.1

Troy has a 31% free throw rate (442 free throw attempts/1,414 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 30%

Louisiana-Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana-Monroe has a TS% of 46% this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Louisiana-Monroe is shooting 43% (595/1,392) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 45%

Louisiana-Monroe is shooting 36% from three (185/509) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisiana-Monroe is shooting 36% from three (185/509) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 8.5 steals per game (205 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Troy has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams

Troy has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Troy has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Louisiana-Monroe Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,229 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,229 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,229 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Louisiana-Monroe has 183 steals this season — 5th most among Sunbelt Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.