- The Twins are -130 favorites vs the Angels
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
- Watch the game on BSW
The Minnesota Twins (-130) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+110) on Friday, May 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Twins vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 24-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 22-23 ATS.
Twins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -105 | -130 |
| Angels | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -115 | +110 |
Twins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+13.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+8.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+7.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Angels vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Angels vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Angels vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
| Reid Detmers | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 away games (+10.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 44 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.55 Units / 33% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 games (+2.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+2.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 44 games (+2.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 24-20 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 7.75% ROI).
- 24-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -3.11% ROI
- 19-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -11.32% ROI
- 22-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 2.7% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 22-23 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -6.33% ROI).
- 23-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -5.54% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -2.88% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -5.84% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 72% (530/733) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 75% (278/370) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 44% (74/168) against Joe Ryan this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 61% (226/370) against Joe Ryan this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reid Detmers has walked 22 of 177 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Reid Detmers has allowed a slugging percentage of .706 (36 Total Bases / 51 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .449 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 63% (158/250) against Reid Detmers on sliders this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .262 (21-for-80) against Reid Detmers with two-strikes this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .177 — sixth Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 11-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Twins are 6-4 (.600) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 5-17 (.227) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 18-4 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .210 (902 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Twins are just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are batting just .111 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Twins hitters are slugging just .222 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are just 5-17 (.227) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 108 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .264 (584 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels are batting just .222 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels pitchers have walked 42 of 397 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Angels vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- Joseph Davidson (Angels): Leg, Day-to-Day
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D10
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D15
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique Strain, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
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