- The Twins are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo López
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Minnesota Twins (-130) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+110) on Tuesday, August 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Twins vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 54-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 53-54 ATS.
Twins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | O 8 +100 | -130 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -120 | +110 |
Twins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 55.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.50 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 88% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Bailey Ober has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.05 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+15.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Cardinals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Cardinals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Cardinals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Cardinals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Miles Mikolas | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 53 away games (+13.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+12.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 50-57 against the Run Line (-9.65 Units / -7.29% ROI).
- 54-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -9.98% ROI
- 51-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -5.48% ROI
- 52-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -3.07% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 53-54 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -2.62% ROI).
- 47-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.05 Units / -20.3% ROI
- 52-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2.3% ROI
- 50-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -5.93% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (375/527) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 36% (38 SO in 105 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 54% (160 SO in 297 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 37% (146/399) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .463 (177 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .318 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .403 (273 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .368 (484 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 61% (1,187/1,958) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
keys to the game – away
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
keys to the game – home
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .219 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Twins hitters have 853 strikeouts in 3,088 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .149 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .657 (975 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .787 (2,319 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .338 (2,319 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals hitters have 338 extra-base hits out of 820 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Twins pitchers have walked 297 of 3,964 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Wrist, D10
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
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