- The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins starting pitcher: Aaron Sanchez, 15.00 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd, 3.60 ERA
The Minnesota Twins (+105) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Sunday, March 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Lakeland.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Twins are 5-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 5-6 ATS.
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -175 | O 10.5 +100 | +105 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +150 | U 10.5 -120 | -125 |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 160 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 160 games (+9.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games (+7.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 108 games (+12.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -5.04% ROI).
- 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 23.4% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -14.41% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 8.45% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -4.69% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 9.74% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 38.33% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -49.18% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has not allowed a hit to any of the last 30 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Ryan Pressly has the longest active streak at 68.
Matthew Boyd has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 15.0 innings pitched — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 28.2.
Matthew Boyd allowed a slugging percentage of just .132 (5 Total Bases / 38 ABs) over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .362 — 97th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd allowed an OPS of just .382 (45 PA’s) over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — 15th best among among 250 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 94th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 8-56 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Twins are just 32-48 (.400) on the road last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers are just 64-86 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins batted just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Twins have hit 3,371 balls in play with an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater since the start of the 2021 season — 5th most in MLB.
The Twins have hit 193 balls in play with an exit velocity over 110 MPH since the start of the 2021 season — 4th most in MLB.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
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