- The Twins are -175 favorites vs the White Sox
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Minnesota Twins (-175) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+145) on Tuesday, May 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 17-12 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 12-17 ATS.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 -110 | O 9 -115 | -175 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | U 9 -105 | +145 |
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 48.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.80 Units / 130% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+13.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | 6.5 +130 | 6.5 -175 |
| Joe Ryan | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 17-12 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 15.25% ROI).
- 17-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.55% ROI
- 12-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -10.73% ROI
- 14-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 2.36% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 12-17 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -21.41% ROI).
- 8-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -41.97% ROI
- 15-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 9.59% ROI
- 11-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -17.47% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 71% (317/444) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 75% (165/220) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 60% (133/220) against Joe Ryan this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed an OBP of just .197 (61 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 96th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.045 (23 Total Bases / 22 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .435 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (43/247) against Michael Kopech since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Kopech has allowed a slugging percentage of .720 (18 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .323 — second Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 40 of 278 left-handed batters (14%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 12-30 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Twins are just 39-55 (.415) on the road since last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 2-5 (.286) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The White Sox are just 10-53 (.159) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The White Sox are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The White Sox are just 6-4 (.600) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .105 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Twins are batting just .193 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .265 (219 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Twins are batting just .140 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 324 walks in 5,615 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have 115 extra-base hits out of 365 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .448 (122 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .656.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 16 of 259 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have allowed 2.45 runs per game (71/29) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
The White Sox have allowed 7.77 runs per game (101/13) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.63.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Reynaldo López (White Sox): Bicep, Day-to-Day
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Ronny Henriquez (Twins): Elbow, D15
- James Farmer (Twins): Face, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
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