UCF vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 16

min read
Memphis head coach Penny Hardaway yells to his players in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Vanderbilt Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 16, 2023, 10:20 AM
  • Memphis (19-6) is a -6.5 point favorite vs UCF (15-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The UCF Knights (15-9) visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Tigers (19-6) on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis.

Memphis is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The UCF vs. Memphis Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

Bet now on Memphis vs UCF & all college basketball games with BetMGM

UCF vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCF+6.5 -105O 149.5 -110+230
Memphis -6.5 -115U 149.5 -110-300

UCF vs Memphis Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 64.7% confidence.

UCF vs Memphis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UCF and Memphis, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Memphis vs UCF and all games with BetMGM


  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 games (+20.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 37 games (+18.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has gone 12-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 3.94% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 11.74% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -20.08% ROI

Memphis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Memphis has gone 10-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 8.41% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Over for +6.1 Units / 22.18% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Under for -8.6 Units / -31.27% ROI

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF is shooting 36% from three (178/493) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

UCF has averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (680 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5

UCF has averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (289 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5

UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (284 assists/ 289 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis has 21.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7

Memphis is shooting 48% (638/1,341) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Memphis is shooting 74% from the free throw line (355/478) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Memphis has made 6.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has averaged 6.7 steals per game (141 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

UCF has averaged 6.9 steals per game (351 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

UCF has allowed 66.0 points per game (1,385 points/21 games) this season — 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 69.1

UCF has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,385 points/1,178 shots) this season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,464 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Memphis has averaged 8.6 steals per game (475 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Memphis has 198 steals this season — most among AAC Teams

Memphis has 475 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among AAC Teams


Bet now on Memphis vs UCF and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.