England vs. Netherlands Prediction, Odds | Euro 2024

min read
England's Bukayo Saka, left, is congratulated by Luke Shaw after scoring his side's first goal during a quarterfinal match between England and Switzerland at the Euro 2024 soccer tournament in Duesseldorf, Germany, Saturday, July 6, 2024.
(AP Photo/Martin Meissner)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jul 10, 2024, 12:11 PM
  • England (+160) is the favorite on the three-way moneyline.
  • I predict a low-event first half on Wednesday in Dortmund.
  • Check out anytime goal scorer prices along with a prediction for total corner kicks.

Seeking a second consecutive appearance in the Euro final, England battles the Netherlands on Wednesday in Dortmund. 

Manager Gareth Southgate’s squad needed a second consecutive extra time match to oust Switzerland in the quarterfinals. 

As for the Netherlands, they erased a 1-0 deficit against Turkey to win 2-1, their second consecutive win in normal time. 

Here’s a look at the Euro 2024 odds and my prediction for Wednesday’s match. 

England vs. Netherlands Odds

  • England Moneyline: +160
  • Netherlands Moneyline: +210
  • Draw Moneyline: +180
  • Total Goals: 1.5 (-200/+140)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (+105), No (-145)

England vs. Netherlands Prediction: Total Goals

Because of the Netherlands’ inability to create chances out of possession, I predict Wednesday’s first half will stay under 0.5 goals (+115)

The Netherlands created nothing in the first half against France, the only game they’ve held a minority of possession. 

Albeit against the best defense in the tournament, they generated only 0.17 xG off five shots. 

I also wasn’t particularly impressed with the Dutch against Turkey. 

They managed only 1.09 xG against a pretty bad defense, including 0.35 xG in the opening 45 minutes. 

That’s going to put them in trouble against an England side that limited Switzerland to 0.08 xG in the first half. 

At the same time, the Netherlands defense is well equipped to limit England. 

France generated a mere 0.3 xG in the first half of that aforementioned group game. Sample England’s last two opening halves, and bettors will find they’ve amassed only 0.51 xG. 

Although they’ve conceded a first-half goal in two of their last four matches, England getting Luke Shaw and Marc Guehi back should bolster their defense. 

Accordingly, expect them to limit chances from the opposition early.

Who will score a goal in England vs. Netherlands? 

Based on current betting odds, Harry Kane (+165) has the best chance to score a goal in this Euro matchup. 

Kane is followed on the odds board by English teammates Ivan Toney (+200) and Ollie Watkins (+200), while Dutch attackers Cody Gakpo and Memphis Depay are both +290. 

England vs. Netherlands: How many corner kicks will there be? 

Based on the current line of 8.5 corner kicks, I predict the UNDER will hit on Wednesday. 

This is strictly a lean because these sides have produced opposite trends. The Netherlands have seen four of five finish over 8.5 while England have seen one match clear 8.5. 

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.