UFC’s first PPV event of 2026 goes down on Jan. 24, as Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett headline the card for the UFC interim lightweight title. The T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas will host the card.
With a perfect 7-0 record in the UFC, Pimblett heads into the match as the betting favorite with -235 UFC odds. On the other hand, Gaethje is going to be the betting underdog with +190 odds.
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett Fight Odds
- Justin Gaethje: +190
- Paddy Pimblett: -235
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett: Tale of the Tape
| Justin Gaethje | Paddy Pimblett | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 31 |
| Height | 5’11” | 5’10” |
| Reach | 70 inches | 73 inches |
| Leg Reach | 40 inches | 40 inches |
| Record | 26-5 | 23-3 |
| Fighting Style | MMA | Jiu-jitsu |
| Finishing Rate | 81% | 74% |
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett: Prediction
My prediction is a TKO/KO finish for Gaethje over Pimblett, as he’s the better striker and packs more power in his punches and kicks. Although I think Pimblett’s grappling is better than Gaethje’s, I think that he’ll still be able to keep the fight on the feet.
At 37, Gaethje’s speed and explosiveness might be the same as they were three or four years ago, but his power remains. With Pimblett’s awkward striking style, I see “The Highlight” catching the former two-division Cage Warriors champion with a solid punch or kick that will stun him.
Additionally, I think this fight is a massive step up for Pimblett, and Gaethje’s experience level is far superior to his. Gaethje has fought several of the top contenders in the lightweight division, while Pimblett’s biggest wins were against aging contenders Tony Ferguson and Michael Chandler.
Justin Gaethje’s Recent Fight Results
Gaethje was a two-time title challenger, former interim titleholder, and former BMF champion. In his last five fights, he recorded three wins and two losses. His victories were against Rafael Fiziev (twice) and Dustin Poirier, while his losses were from Charles Oliveira and Max Holloway.
Paddy Pimblett’s Recent Fight Results
Pimblett was a former two-division Cage Warriors champion. He made his UFC debut in September 2021 and remained undefeated in seven bouts. His past five victories were over Jordan Leavitt, Jared Gordon, Ferguson, King Green, and Chandler.
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett Fight Card
- Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett, UFC interim lightweight title fight
- Sean O’Malley vs. Song Yadong, bantamweight fight
- Waldo Cortes Acosta vs. Derrick Lewis, heavyweight fight
- Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas, women’s flyweight fight
- Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva, featherweight fight
- Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Deiveson Figueiredo, bantamweight fight
- Ateba Gautier vs. Andrey Pulyaev, middleweight fight
- Nikita Krylov vs. Modestas Bukauskas, light heavyweight fight
- Alex Perez vs. Charles Johnson, flyweight fight
- Michael Johnson vs. Alexander Hernandez, lightweight fight
- Josh Hokit vs. Denzel Freeman, heavyweight fight
- Ricky Turcios vs. Cameron Smotherman, bantamweight fight
- Adam Fugitt vs. Ty Miller, welterweight fight
UFC Betting at the Online Sportsbook
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