UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje Fight Card, Predictions, & Odds

Ilia Topuria, left, hits Charles Oliveira in a lightweight title fight at UFC 317, Saturday, June 28, 2025, in Las Vegas.
(AP Photo/John Locher)
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The UFC lightweight unification match between reigning titleholder Ilia Topuria and interim champion Justin Gaethje will headline the historic UFC Freedom 250 card on Sunday at the White House’s South Lawn in Washington, D.C.

As an undefeated two-division UFC champion, Topuria heads into the match as the heavy betting favorite with -550 UFC odds, while Gaethje will be the overwhelming betting underdog with +400 odds.

UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje Fight Odds

  • Ilia Topuria: -550
  • Justin Gaethje: +400

UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje: Tale of the Tape

Ilia TopuriaJustin Gaethje
Age2937
Height5’7”5’11”
Reach69 inches70 inches
Leg Reach37 inches40 inches
Record17-027-5
Fighting StyleBrazilian jiu-jitsuMMA
Finishing Rate88%81%

UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje: Prediction

My prediction is a TKO/KO victory for Topuria over Gaethje. His power, precision, and fight IQ will be too much for Gaethje to handle. Although Gaethje has enormous power in his punches as well, Topuria’s accuracy will beat his chaotic style.

Even if Gaethje force a brawl, Topuria will still be technical and look for the best shots possible rather than engaging in wild exchanges. Also, Topuria has the option to use his grappling skills against Gaethje to give him different looks.

Gaethje can utilize his signature leg kicks to take away some of Topuria’s power by attacking the lead leg of Topuria, but Topuria usually takes leg kicks just to land stiff jabs. These jabs usually set up his combinations and knock out his opponents when landed clean.

Ilia Topuria’s Recent Fight Results

Topuria is the current UFC lightweight champion and is still undefeated in his pro MMA career. His last five victories were against Bryce Mitchell, Josh Emmett, Alexander Volkanovski, Max Holloway, and Charles Oliveira.

Justin Gaethje’s Recent Fight Results

Gaethje is the reigning UFC interim lightweight titleholder. He won four of his last five bouts, with victories against Rafael Fiziev (twice), Dustin Poirier, and Paddy Pimblett. His only loss during this stretch was to Max Holloway at UFC 300.

UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje Fight Card

  • Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje, UFC lightweight title fight
  • Alex Pereira vs. Ciryl Gane, UFC interim heavyweight title fight
  • Sean O’Malley vs. Aiemann Zahabi, bantamweight fight
  • Josh Hokit vs. Derrick Lewis, heavyweight fight
  • Mauricio Ruffy vs. Michael Chandler, lightweight fight
  • Bo Nickal vs. Kyle Daukaus, middleweight fight
  • Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia, featherweight fight

UFC betting is a unique way to get closer to the action of the world’s biggest fights. And with live betting at the online sportsbook, the betting doesn’t stop when the fighters enter the octagon.

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About the Author Read More @AnatolyPimentel

Anatoly Pimentel is an NBA and MMA writer previously featured in ASEAN Sports, Asian Persuasion MMA, and Overtime Heroics MMA. He graduated from Adamson University with a B.A in Communication and is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM.

Anatoly Pimentel is an NBA and MMA writer previously featured in ASEAN Sports, Asian Persuasion MMA, and Overtime Heroics MMA. He graduated from Adamson University with a B.A in Communication and is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM.