UFC Vegas 120: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara Predictions & Odds

Amanda Lemos, right, fights Iasmin Lucindo during a UFC 313 mixed martial arts strawweight bout Saturday, March 8, 2025.
(AP Photo/John Locher)
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Ranked women’s strawweight contenders Amanda Lemos and Alexia Thainara are set to collide for a better position in the division on Saturday at the UFC Vegas 120 card inside the Meta APEX in Las Vegas.

With a 3-0 record in the promotion, Thainara enters the fight as the betting favorite with -250 UFC odds, while Lemos, who’s on a two-fight losing streak, will be the +200 betting underdog.

UFC Vegas 120: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara Fight Odds

  • Amanda Lemos: +200
  • Alexia Thainara: -250

UFC Vegas 120: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara: Tale of the Tape

Amanda LemosAlexia Thainara
Age3930
Height5’4”5’4”
Reach65 inches67 inches
Leg Reach36 inches35.5 inches
Record15-6-114-1
Fighting StyleBoxingMMA
Finishing Rate73%57%

UFC Vegas 120: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara: Prediction

A submission victory for Thainara over Lemos is my prediction because she’s the more well-rounded fighter and has the better grappling skills. Lemos is a vicious boxer, but this can be easily neutralized when she’s taken down.

Thainara is also very good at setting up her takedowns and not just forcing them against opponents. She utilizes her continuously improving striking skills to make her opposition commit before shooting for a takedown.

With Lemos at the tail-end of her pro career and past her prime, I believe Thainara will maximize her youth and explosiveness to overpower the former title challenger. Thainara’s Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt credentials will be on full display to secure a submission win.

Amanda Lemos’ Recent Fight Results

Lemos is a UFC veteran and a former title challenger. But he has only racked up two wins in his last five bouts. She won against Mackenzie Dern and Ian Lucindo and dropped the other three to Virna Jandiroba, Tatiana Suarez, and Gillian Robertson.

Alexia Thainara’s Recent Fight Results

Thainara was a titleholder in various MMA promotions before she joined Dana White’s Contender Series in 2024. She defeated Rose Conceição to earn a UFC roster spot. Since then, she has won all three of her fights in the promotion, defeating Molly McCann, Loma Lookboonmee, and Bruna Brasil.

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About the Author Read More @AnatolyPimentel

Anatoly Pimentel is an NBA and MMA writer previously featured in ASEAN Sports, Asian Persuasion MMA, and Overtime Heroics MMA. He graduated from Adamson University with a B.A in Communication and is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM.

Anatoly Pimentel is an NBA and MMA writer previously featured in ASEAN Sports, Asian Persuasion MMA, and Overtime Heroics MMA. He graduated from Adamson University with a B.A in Communication and is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM.