UMBC vs Maine Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:10 AM
  • UMBC (15-9) are -4.5 point favorites vs Maine (9-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN3

The UMBC Retrievers (15-9) visit Memorial Gymnasium (Maine) to take on the Maine Black Bears (9-13) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Orono.

UMBC is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The UMBC vs. Maine Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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UMBC vs. Maine Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UMBC-4.5 -105O 144.5 -105-190
Maine +4.5 -115U 144.5 -115+155

UMBC vs Maine Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UMBC will win this game with 56.4% confidence.

UMBC vs Maine Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UMBC will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UMBC and Maine, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UMBC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Maine has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Maine have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Maine has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Maine has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Maine has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 66% ROI)

UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has gone 13-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 7.91% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 11.05% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI

Maine Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maine has gone 12-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -27.1% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.09% ROI

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (357 assists/ 230 TOs) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UMBC has made 8.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.5

UMBC has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (230 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

UMBC has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (575 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Maine Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maine has a TS% of 49% this season — 4th best among America East Teams; League Avg: 48%

Maine is shooting 35% from three (158/451) this season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Maine has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (692 assists/ 616 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Maine has 261 turnovers this season — 5th most among America East Teams

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC has averaged 5.1 steals per game (287 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UMBC has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (211/556) this season — 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UMBC has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,538/3,380) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 21st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

UMBC has forced 10.9 turnovers per game (612 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Maine Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maine has 212 steals this season — most among America East Teams

Maine has averaged 9.6 steals per game (212 steals/22 games) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Maine has averaged 8.2 steals per game (420 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Maine has 420 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among America East Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.