Here’s the Most Unbelievable NFL Betting Trend in 2021

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(Photo by Keith Allison/Wikimedia Commons)
Andrew Doughty @DoughtyBetMGM Nov 16, 2021, 4:41 PM

Ezekiel Elliott capped a 12-play, 68-yard drive with a 1-yard touchdown run to extend the Dallas Cowboys lead to 11 points, 14-3, in the second quarter of their Week 10 game against the Atlanta Falcons. That’s all the Cowboys, a 7.5-point home favorite, needed to cover the spread and continue the most unbelievable NFL betting trend this season.

Through the first nine weeks of the season, there were 31 games in which one team entered with an ATS losing streak of at least one game played a team with an ATS winning streak of at least one game, i.e., a team that didn’t cover in their previous game vs. a team that did cover in their previous game. The ATS-losing-streak team was 25-6 (.806) against the spread.

With the Cowboys’ cover and the Carolina Panthers’ cover – +7 in an outright win over the Arizona Cardinals – the ATS-losing-streak team has 27 covers (.818) through 10 weeks. It’s already 15 more covers than all of last year.

ATS-losing-streak teams went just 12-15 last year, failing to finish above .500 in those spots for the sixth straight season. From 2015-20, those teams went 89-107-3 (.455), more than 36 percentage points lower than this year’s cover rate.

Here’s a look at the 31 games this season in which one team entered with an ATS losing streak of at least one game played a team with an ATS winning streak of at least one game:

WeekLosing Streak TeamWinning Streak TeamCover
10PanthersCardinalsYes
10CowboysFalconsYes
9FalconsSaintsYes
9Cardinals49ersYes
9ColtsJetsYes
8ChiefsGiantsNo
8SaintsBucsYes
8EaglesLionsYes
8SteelersBrownsYes
8ChargersPatriotsNo
6GiantsRamsNo
6SeahawksSteelersYes
5TitansJaguarsYes
5FalconsJetsYes
5SaintsWashingtonYes
5RamsSeahawksYes
4RaidersChargersNo
4GiantsSaintsYes
4ColtsDolphinsYes
4BearsLionsYes
3LionsRavensYes
3BrownsBearsYes
3RamsBucsYes
3SeahawksVikingsNo
3SaintsPatriotsYes
2PackersLionsYes
2ColtsRamsYes
249ersEaglesYes
2BearsBengalsYes
2TitansSeahawksYes
2VikingsCardinalsYes
2BillsDolphinsYes
2JaguarsBroncosNo

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About the Author

Andrew Doughty

Read More @DoughtyBetMGM

Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM and host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Apple Podcasts and everywhere else.

Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM and host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Apple Podcasts and everywhere else.