- The Utah Utes are a -8 point favorite vs. the Iowa State Cyclones
- Utah vs. Iowa State Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
Utah (3-0) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on Iowa State (2-1) on Sep. 26 in Ames, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Utah Utes are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -8 (-108).
The Utah vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Utah vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Utah | -8 -108 | 48.5 -110 | -350 |
| Iowa State | +8 -110 | 48.5 -108 | +280 |
Utah vs Iowa State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 65.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Utah Utes and the Iowa State Cyclones, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Utah vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Utah Best Bets Today
- Utah has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- Utah have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Utah has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Iowa State Best Bets Today
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.15 Units / 63% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah Utes is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Utah is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.62% ROI
- Utah is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Utah is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa State Cyclones is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Iowa State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.41% ROI
- Iowa State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Iowa State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State
Utah is undefeated (7-0) when not losing a fumble this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .634
Utah is undefeated (7-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Utah is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .467
Utah is winless (0-1) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah
Iowa State was 9-2 (.818) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Iowa State is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .615
Iowa State was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Iowa State was 9-3 (.750) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .442
Matchup Notes for Utah vs. Iowa State
Iowa State’s WRs gained 1,562 yards on 106 receptions (14.7 YPR) last season — 21st-best among FBS WRs. Utah’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State gained 2,657 yards on 210 receptions (12.7 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among Big 12 skill players. Utah’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs had 76 receptions in 12 games (6.3 per game) last season — 2nd-best among P5 TEs. Utah’s defense allowed just 14.6 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah’s RBs averaged 11.6 yards after the catch last season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. Iowa State’s defense allowed just 3.8 RAC to RBs last season — best among FBS defenses.
Utah has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah WRs had just one touchdown on 7 receptions in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Utah Skill Players have averaged 32.3 yards per reception (97 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3
Utah TEs caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
Utah TEs caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Utah WRs averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (104 Rec/4 TDs) last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State have thrown one TD on 100 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 6th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9
Iowa State threw one TD on 100 pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season– 6th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9
Iowa State have thrown 0 TDs on 71 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.8
Iowa State Skill Players have no touchdowns on 40 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8
Iowa State Skill Players have no touchdowns on 40 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.7
Utah Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah has allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (190 completions/381 attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 62%
Utah has allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (92 completions/193 attempts) in the 1st half this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%
Utah has allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (190 completions/381 attempts) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 60%
Utah has allowed opponents to catch just 190 of 384 passes (49% Reception Pct) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 61%
Utah has allowed opponents to catch just 190 of 384 passes (49% Reception Pct) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%
Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
Iowa State has averaged a sack every 29.7 pass attempts (386 Pass Attempts/13 Sacks) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.3
Iowa State has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 18.9
Iowa State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
Iowa State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (35/811) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%
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