UTSA vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 12:11 PM
  • Middle Tennessee (14-9) are -13.5 point favorites vs UTSA (7-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The UTSA Roadrunners (7-17) visit Murphy Athletic Center to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (14-9) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Murfreesboro.

Middle Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).

The UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTSA+13.5 -105O 141.5 -110+625
Middle Tennessee -13.5 -115U 141.5 -110-1000

UTSA vs Middle Tennessee Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Middle Tennessee will win this game with 75.9% confidence.

UTSA vs Middle Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and Middle Tennessee, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Middle Tennessee vs UTSA and all games with BetMGM


  • UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games at home (+16.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+11.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)

UTSA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UTSA has gone 8-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.25 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 5-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -29.22% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has gone 9-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -12.97% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Over for +4.15 Units / 17.93% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Under for -6.3 Units / -27.33% ROI

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA has averaged 1.12 points per shot (3,772 points/3,372 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.25

UTSA has a TS% of 43% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 48%

UTSA has an eFG% of 45% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 52%

UTSA is shooting 40% (540/1,362) this season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 45%

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (259 assists/ 312 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Middle Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (719 assists/ 773 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Middle Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (259 assists/ 312 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Middle Tennessee has averaged 11.3 assists per game (259 assists/23 games) this season — 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA has averaged 3.5 steals per game (85 steals/24 games) this season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.1

UTSA has averaged 3.5 steals per game (85 steals/24 games) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UTSA has averaged 4.8 steals per game (268 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.0

UTSA has averaged 4.8 steals per game (268 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (504 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Middle Tennessee has averaged 7.9 steals per game (182 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Middle Tennessee has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,400 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Middle Tennessee has averaged 7.9 steals per game (182 steals/23 games) this season — 5th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.