- Missouri State (11-11) are -9.5 point favorites vs Valparaiso (10-13)
- Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons (10-13) visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears (11-11) on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Springfield.
Missouri State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Valparaiso vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 132.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +9.5 -110 | O 132.5 -110 | +380 |
| Missouri State | -9.5 -110 | U 132.5 -120 | -550 |
Valparaiso vs Missouri State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Missouri State will win this game with 70.9% confidence.
Valparaiso vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Valparaiso and Missouri State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (+6.80 Units / 82% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+5.40 Units / 5% ROI)
- Missouri State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has gone 9-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).
- 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.52% ROI
- 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
- 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI
Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri State has gone 11-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -9.09% ROI
- 7-14 when betting the Over for -8.45 Units / -36.5% ROI
- 14-7 when betting the Under for +6.3 Units / 27.33% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has made 6.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Valparaiso has averaged 7.1 offensive rebounds per game (390 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.4
Valparaiso has 288 turnovers this season — tied for 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Valparaiso is shooting 56% from inside the arc (306/547) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 56%
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has averaged 11.3 assists per game (249 assists/22 games) this season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (249 assists/ 277 TOs) this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Missouri State has averaged 65.8 points per game (1,447 points/22 games) this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8
Missouri State has 241 offensive rebounds this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 6.2 steals per game (143 steals/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Valparaiso has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (615 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7
Valparaiso has allowed 72.3 points per game (1,663 points/23 games) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 67.9
Valparaiso has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (258 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.8
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has allowed 63.0 points per game (1,387 points/22 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6
Missouri State has forced 12.7 turnovers per game (280 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.8
Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (1,329/3,148) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%
Missouri State has allowed 66.6 points per game (3,729 points/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 68.4
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