- Murray State (15-14) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (11-19)
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons (11-19) visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers (15-14) on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Murray.
Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Valparaiso vs. Murray State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +5.5 -110 | O 145.5 -115 | +200 |
| Murray State | -5.5 -110 | U 145.5 -105 | -250 |
Valparaiso vs Murray State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Murray State will win this game with 60.1% confidence.
Valparaiso vs Murray State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Valparaiso and Murray State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 away games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Murray State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Murray State has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 47 games (+27.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+5.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+3.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has gone 12-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.7 Units / -21% ROI).
- 10-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -7.33% ROI
- 18-11 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI
- 11-18 when betting the Under for -8.8 Units / -27.59% ROI
Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Murray State has gone 13-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.45 Units / -11.22% ROI).
- 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 10.89% ROI
- 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI
- 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -25% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso is shooting 30% from three (148/500) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Valparaiso has made 6.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Valparaiso has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso is shooting 32% from three (378/1,192) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has made 5.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Murray State has averaged 11.3 turnovers per game (259 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5
Murray State has averaged 11.3 turnovers per game (259 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5
Murray State has attempted 1,115 free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 6.3 steals per game (151 steals/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,475/3,261) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Valparaiso has allowed 72.5 points per game (1,739 points/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 68.1
Valparaiso has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8
Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has averaged 26.2 defensive rebounds per game (602 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Murray State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (124 steals/23 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Murray State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (124 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Murray State has averaged 6.8 steals per game (390 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.5
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