- Murray State (16-14) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (11-20)
- Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons (11-20) visit Enterprise Center to take on the Murray State Racers (16-14) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in St. Louis.
Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Valparaiso vs. Murray State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +1.5 -110 | O 141.5 -110 | +105 |
| Murray State | -1.5 -110 | U 141.5 -110 | -125 |
Valparaiso vs Murray State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Murray State will win this game with 56.8% confidence.
Valparaiso vs Murray State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Valparaiso and Murray State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 12 away games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Murray State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Murray State has hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+28.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+6.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+1.75 Units / 6% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has gone 13-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI).
- 10-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -8.83% ROI
- 19-11 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 20.91% ROI
- 11-19 when betting the Under for -9.9 Units / -30% ROI
Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Murray State has gone 13-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.55 Units / -14.29% ROI).
- 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 12.1% ROI
- 18-11 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI
- 11-18 when betting the Under for -8.8 Units / -27.59% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso is shooting 30% from three (148/500) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Valparaiso has made 6.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Valparaiso has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (403 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.4
Valparaiso has 15.6 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7
Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has averaged 11.3 turnovers per game (259 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5
Murray State has attempted 1,115 free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Murray State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (276 assists/ 259 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Murray State has made 5.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 6.3 steals per game (151 steals/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,475/3,261) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Valparaiso has allowed 72.5 points per game (1,739 points/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 68.1
Valparaiso has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8
Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (124 steals/23 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Murray State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (124 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Murray State has averaged 26.2 defensive rebounds per game (602 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Murray State has 390 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams
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