Vanderbilt vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2023, 11:06 AM
  • Texas A&M (24-8) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Vanderbilt (20-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Vanderbilt Commodores (20-13) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (24-8) on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Nashville.

Texas A&M is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Vanderbilt vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Vanderbilt vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Vanderbilt+5.5 -105O 140.5 -110+200
Texas A&M -5.5 -115U 140.5 -110-250

Vanderbilt vs Texas A&M Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 63.5% confidence.

Vanderbilt vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Vanderbilt and Texas A&M, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+20.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+19.75 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 49 games (+14.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Texas A&M have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games (+16.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Texas A&M have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)

Vanderbilt Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Vanderbilt has gone 19-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI).

  • 20-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -8.28% ROI
  • 19-14 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI
  • 14-19 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -19.01% ROI

Texas A&M Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas A&M has gone 22-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+11 Units / 31.25% ROI).

  • 23-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -2.54% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt has an eFG% of 48% this season — 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Vanderbilt has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (681 assists/ 728 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Vanderbilt has a TS% of 46% this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Vanderbilt has averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,553 points/1,311 shots) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has a 45% free throw rate (550 free throw attempts/1,232 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%

Texas A&M has 25.0 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.4

Texas A&M has a 45% free throw rate (550 free throw attempts/1,232 field goal attempts) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Texas A&M has 22.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7

Vanderbilt Defensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt has averaged 6.5 steals per game (229 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Vanderbilt has averaged 5.2 steals per game (114 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Vanderbilt has averaged 6.3 steals per game (146 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Vanderbilt has averaged 6.5 steals per game (375 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has averaged 9.5 steals per game (229 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas A&M has averaged 9.1 steals per game (563 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Texas A&M has 563 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Power Conference teams

Texas A&M has averaged 9.1 steals per game (563 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.