UFC 273 Odds & Predictions: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Chan Sung Jung

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(AP Photo/John Locher)
BetMGM Staff @BETMGM Apr 08, 2022, 1:42 PM

The UFC 273 fight card is loaded with opportunities to bet online with UFC odds.

The main event features featherweights Alexander Volkanovski and Chan Sung Jung. Volkanovski is the reigning UFC champion and hasn’t lost since 2013, while the “Korean Zombie” has won three of his past four fights.

UFC 273: Date, Time, Location, TV

FW – (c) Alexander Volkanovski (23-1-0) vs. FW – #4 Chan Sung Jung (17-6-0)

Date: Saturday, April 9, 2022 | Time: 10:00 PM ET

Location: VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena – Jacksonville, Florida | TV: PPV

Alexander Volkanovski vs. Chan Sung Jung Odds

Odds to Win: Volkanovski (-800) | Jung (+550)

How Will Fight End: KO/TKO/DQ (+150), Submission (+650), Decision (-135)

Will the fight go the distance? Yes (-135) No (+100)

Alexander Volkanovski vs. Chan Sung Jung Analysis

Volkanovski has never lost in the UFC, winning 10 fights in a row, and he’s on a 20-fight win streak overall. Jung is 7-3 in the UFC and 4-2 after a lengthy hiatus between 2013 and 2017.

Jung’s most recent loss was only two fights ago to Brian Ortega. Jung has challenged for the title before, losing to Jose Aldo at UFC 163 in 2013. Since then, Volkanovski has beaten a who’s who of the UFC’s featherweight division as Max Holloway (two times), Ortega, Aldo, and Chad Mendes have all fallen to the champ in his past five fights.

Volkanovski, a heavy favorite in MMA odds, will be giving up an inch in height and 2.5 inches in reach when he steps into the Octagon on Saturday. However, he will be the thicker fighter. Jung is known for his ability to absorb punishment and has a decent finish rate.

He wins by KO/TKO 35 percent and by submission 47 percent of the time, while Volkanovski wins by KO/TKO 48 percent and decision 39 percent of the time. However, his past four fights have gone to a decision. It seems likely that the contest will end one of two ways, by knockout or by decision.

 

Volkanovski tends to spend more time in the Octagon, having an average fight time of 16:08 to Jung’s 12:12. This is partially due to Jung having a 0.14 higher knockdown rate but also because he’s an all-or-nothing fighter. Jung might be more likely to end a fight, but he’s also more likely to be finished.

The plan for Jung is simple. He moves forward, taking heaps of punishment while he tries to land a knockdown. If successful, he’ll try to finish the fight by knockout or by submission. Volkanovski is a more strategic fighter and has the endurance to match Jung. Volkanovski lands 6.42 significant strikes per minute, 2.35 more than the “Korean Zombie.”

They have similar percentages in striking and takedown defense. However, Volkanovski averages 0.95 more takedowns, while Jung averages 0.44 more submissions per minute.

The odds are very much in favor of Volkanovski, perhaps too much so. Jung has more of a chance than the books are giving him. However, it is more likely that Volkanovski will win this fight. It’s safe to say that Jung will not win a decision, but he could land a knockout. It might be good to hedge a Volkanovski decision with a Jung finish.

Alexander Volkanovski vs. Chan Sung Jung Prediction

Volkanovski by Decision/Technical Decision (-125)

Volkanovski by KO/TKO/DQ Round 1 (+650)

Jung by KO/TKO/DQ (+1100)

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Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.

Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.