The Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers matchup in Week 14 will be the 204th matchup between these storied franchises. The Packers have won most of these matchups, and they already beat the Bears by ten points earlier this season.
However, that game took place in Chicago, and this Week 14 matchup will take place at Lambeau Field. BetMGM NFL betting lines show the Packers are 12.5-point favorites.
Can the Bears keep this game close, or will Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers cover the spread for the 11th time this season? Read the article below to find out how to approach this Bears at Packers game from a betting perspective.
Total Points Under 43 (-110)
The Bears at Packers matchup will occur in primetime, a time slot that hasn’t been kind to Andy Dalton throughout his career.
Dalton is coming off one of the worst games of his career; a four-interception outing against the Cardinals at home. Green Bay is eighth in passing yards allowed per game (219.2), and they’re tied for ninth in getting interceptions (12). Because of this, I believe Dalton is likely to struggle this week.
The Bears may decide to lean on their running game, but the Packers have been excellent against the run lately. Over the past three games, Green Bay has allowed an average of just 76.7 yards per game on the ground. However, Green Bay’s offense isn’t as good as their 9-3 record indicates. The Packers rank just 15th in the NFL in yards per game.
I believe that the Packers will win this game handily, but given the Bears’ struggles on offense, I think that Green Bay would need to score 33 or more points for the over to hit. However, I don’t see them reaching this number because of the Bears’ 6th rank passing defense (207.8 yards per game).
Green Bay Packers -12.5 (-110)
Green Bay, meanwhile, is averaging 28 points per game over their past three outings.
Factoring in the Packers’ home-field advantage and passing defense with these trends, it seems reasonable to expect the Packers to cover 12.5.
Recapping the Top Wagers for Bears at Packers
In this rivalry, the Bears have beaten the Packers just once in the past ten matchups. In addition, the Bears have lost by at least ten points in three consecutive contests against the Packers.
I like the Packers +12.5 and the under in this NFC North matchup for those reasons. Do you agree, or do you think the Bears can pull off the upset this week? You can bet on the Bears at Packers matchup and other Week 14 games by visiting the BetMGM online sportsbook. Sign up for an account today, and you can receive a risk-free first bet up to $1,000.