- The Kings (48-34) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (44-38)
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 3:30pm EDT
- Watch the game on ABC
The Golden State Warriors visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Sacramento.
The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at + (+).
The Warriors vs Kings Over/Under is Not Found total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 41-46 against the spread, while the Kings are 49-39 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Golden State Warriors | + + | O Not Found + | + |
Sacramento Kings | + + | U Not Found + | + |
Kings vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Sunday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.
Kings vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Kings, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 93 games (+16.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 37 away games (+16.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 away games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 away games (+10.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.07 Units / 15% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.21 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.47 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 41-46 (-9.6 Units / -9.92% ROI).
- 47-41 against the Moneyline (-26.15 Units / -11.41% ROI)
- 47-39 against the Over for game total points (+4.1 Units / 4.24% ROI)
- 39-47 against the Under for game total points (-12.7 Units / -13.12% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 49-39 (+6.1 Units / 6.3% ROI).
- 51-37 against the Moneyline (-8.95 Units / -4.88% ROI)
- 43-44 against the Over for game total points (-5.4 Units / -5.58% ROI)
- 44-43 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -3.41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 88 games (-26.35 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 67 games (-23.92 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games at home (-23.70 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.59 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 41 games at home (-16.70 Units / -37% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 44 away games (-32.05 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 93 games (-28.35 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 82 games (-27.32 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 35 games (-26.70 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 95 games (-24.64 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Golden State Warriors are 6-23 (.207) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.
The Golden State Warriors are 63-23 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings have averaged 50.5 rebounds per game (8,275 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Warriors are 36-21 (.632) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Warriors are 2-22 (.083) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .166
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Kings are 4-38 (.095) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .227
The Kings are 35-5 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733
The Kings are 29-17 (.630) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Kings are 46-18 (.719) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .644
Injury Report: Kings vs. Warriors – Sunday‘s Game, Apr. 30
- Matthew Dellavedova (Kings): Dellavedova underwent surgery and is without a timetable to return.
- Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Warriors): Baldwin Jr. did not play in Friday’s game (Apr. 28) against the Kings.
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala underwent successful surgery on his left wrist Tuesday and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0
The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
The Warriors have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5
The Warriors have made 16.0 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Kings have averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Kings have averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9
The Kings have averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,888 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have 1,888 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,100 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Kings have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (1,002 blocks/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Kings have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,705 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (644 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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